The dollar edged higher on Friday but was still set to end 2023 with a loss, reversing two straight years of gains, dragged down by market expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve could begin easing interest rates as early as March. Since the Fed launched its aggressive rate-hike cycle in early 2022, expectations of how far U.S. rates would have to rise have been a huge driver of the dollar. But as economic data subsequently pointed to signs that inflation in the United States is cooling, investors turned their focus to how soon the Fed could begin cutting rates – expectations that gathered steam after a dovish tilt at the central bank's December policy meeting.
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